Lineup Info Edge
DC United
Major League Soccer · USA·3/7/2026, 9:30:00 PMMarket
Goals Over/Under First Half
Selection
Over 3.5
Current Odds
8.00
Expected Value
+18.2%
Fair Odds
7.07
Edge
13.2%
Strength
Confidence
MEDIUM
中等置信度 - 建议小额
Odds Divergence
值: 36.36%·阈值: 5%
| 市场 | 选项 | 尖庄赔率 | 软庄赔率 | EV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total - Away | Over 4.5 | 11.00 | 15.00 | +36.4% |
| Goals Over/Under First Half | Over 3.5 | 11.00 | 13.00 | +18.2% |
| Result/Total Goals | Home/Under 3.5 | 5.50 | 6.50 | +18.2% |
| Result/Total Goals | Away/Over 2.5 | 2.25 | 2.62 | +16.4% |
| Result/Total Goals | Home/Over 3.5 | 9.50 | 11.00 | +15.8% |
The provided odds comparison data indicates several potential value opportunities, primarily driven by significant divergence between sharp and soft bookmaker pricing. Specifically, the 'Goals Over/Under First Half | Over 3.5' and 'Result/Total Goals | Home/Under 3.5' markets exhibit the highest reported Expected Value (EV) at +18.18%. This suggests that the soft bookmaker (Bet365) may be slower to adjust its lines compared to the sharp bookmaker (Betfair), creating an information asymmetry that could be exploited. However, it's crucial to acknowledge that these markets, particularly 'Over 3.5 First Half Goals', are inherently high-variance and less liquid, which can amplify price discrepancies but also increase risk.