Early Alpha
FSV Mainz 05
Bundesliga · Germany·3/7/2026, 2:30:00 PMMarket
Goals Over/Under
Selection
Under 0.5
Current Odds
19.50
Expected Value
0.0%
Fair Odds
13.00
Edge
50.0%
Strength
Confidence
HIGH
高置信度 - 建议标准仓位
Odds Divergence
值: 50%·阈值: 5%
| 市场 | 选项 | 尖庄赔率 | 软庄赔率 | EV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals Over/Under | Under 0.5 | 13.00 | 19.50 | +50.0% |
| Total Corners (1st Half) | Under 4 | 2.16 | 2.96 | +37.0% |
| Total Corners (1st Half) | Over 4 | 1.64 | 2.00 | +21.9% |
| Total Corners (1st Half) | Under 4 | 2.16 | 2.62 | +21.3% |
| Asian Handicap | Home -2.5 | 13.00 | 15.50 | +19.2% |
The provided data indicates significant pricing discrepancies in secondary markets, specifically 'Total Corners (1st Half)'. While the raw EV calculations show substantial alpha, the 'Early Alpha' strategy is strictly focused on primary markets due to their higher liquidity, lower variance, and more robust information efficiency. Markets such as 'Total Corners (1st Half)' are considered niche and are prone to higher volatility and less reliable pricing models, making them unsuitable for consistent quantitative edge detection within our framework. The observed divergences, while numerically high, do not represent actionable signals under the strictures of our model.