Pro Trader Calculator Suite

Three-in-one professional tools: Poisson probability, arbitrage analysis, margin reveal

Based on the Poisson distribution model, enter expected goals (xG) for home and away teams to calculate probabilities and fair odds for all markets.

VS

Match Result

Home

43.3%

Draw

27.0%

Away

29.8%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

70.2%

No Draw

73.0%

Away or Draw

56.7%

Over/Under

1.5

Over

75.1%

Under

24.9%
2.5

Over

50.1%

Under

49.9%
3.5

Over

28.5%

Under

71.5%
4.5

Over

13.5%

Under

86.5%

Both Teams to Score

Yes

54.7%

No

45.3%

Handicap

-1.5

Home

21.4%

Away

78.6%
-1

Home

21.4%

Away

56.7%
-0.5

Home

43.3%

Away

56.7%
0

Home

43.3%

Away

29.8%
+0.5

Home

70.2%

Away

29.8%
+1

Home

70.2%

Away

12.3%
+1.5

Home

87.7%

Away

12.3%

Home Goals

0.5

Over

77.6%

Under

22.4%
1.5

Over

43.9%

Under

56.1%
2.5

Over

18.8%

Under

81.2%

Away Goals

0.5

Over

70.0%

Under

30.0%
1.5

Over

33.6%

Under

66.4%
2.5

Over

11.9%

Under

88.1%

Correct Score (Top 10)

1-1

12.8%

1-0

9.9%

2-1

8.9%

0-1

7.9%

2-0

7.4%

0-0

7.1%

1-2

7.1%

2-2

5.8%

0-2

4.7%

3-1

4.4%

Note: This calculator uses an improved Poisson algorithm optimized for football — draw probability is slightly increased, and favorite team outcomes are enhanced.